New Castle
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #102
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #5
Connersville Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 81.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invite Jim Leffler Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/25 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/13 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 896 897 899 840 880 906 940 922 1,020 953 1,103 957 1,044
Team Adjusted Rating 893 884 828 817 889 908 848 861 953 934 957 941
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Arabian Roundup Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invite Jim Leffler Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Heritage Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
355  Lydia Harvey 12 21:01 19:59 20:48 20:37 20:37 20:23 21:01 21:16 21:22 21:17 21:26 20:55 21:06
615  Anyah Amman 9 21:45 22:07 21:42 21:19 21:36 21:14 21:49 21:24 21:29 22:19 22:58
822  Savannah Kernel 12 22:19 22:43 21:56 22:05 21:45 21:48 22:13 22:07 22:21 23:34 22:29 22:39 22:26
833  Sylvie Terrell 10 22:21 27:02 22:32 22:53 22:37 22:20 22:52 22:27 21:43 21:59 21:37 22:26 22:22 23:03
1,250  Ella Garvin 12 23:16 20:15 24:57 23:44 23:12 22:53 23:07
Catherine Willis 10 23:34 23:01 23:21 23:32 23:28 24:39 23:49 23:34 23:39 23:14 23:30 23:30 23:28
Sydney Mathews 11 23:35 21:32 23:09 23:20 25:20
Naroa Sanchis 10 24:38 26:42 28:56 25:46 23:33 24:05 24:36 23:47 24:16 24:40 25:30
Elena Olloqui-Ruiz 10 25:07 25:04 25:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 81.3% 19.9 581 0.1 9.4 71.8
Regionals 100% 5.1 149 0.1 9.7 71.5 15.8 2.6 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 65 8.9 82.7 8.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lydia Harvey 100% 105.3 100.0% 100.0%
Anyah Amman 95.0% 140.5 73.2% 88.7%
Savannah Kernel 81.9% 165.0 3.5% 20.9%
Sylvie Terrell 81.8% 165.7 2.6% 18.0%
Ella Garvin 81.3% 175.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lydia Harvey 100% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 4.4 10.2 13.6 12.4 11.9 10.2 8.2 7.1 5.2 4.8 3.5 2.5 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Anyah Amman 100% 24.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.5 5.0 6.2 7.3 7.9 8.3 7.9 100.0%
Savannah Kernel 100% 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 100.0%
Sylvie Terrell 100% 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 100.0%
Ella Garvin 100% 55.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lydia Harvey 4.5 0.2 0.6 2.4 9.5 72.1 11.6 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Anyah Amman 8.1 0.2 10.9 16.6 20.6 16.8 13.3 11.5 6.7 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Savannah Kernel 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.0 6.7 12.9 20.1 18.3 13.2 8.7 5.5 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sylvie Terrell 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.2 5.6 10.6 17.9 19.6 14.8 10.1 6.4 4.1 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ella Garvin 23.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.3 3.7 5.3 7.7 11.6 14.4 13.0 11.0